* Aussie boosted by a very bullish RBA outlook
* Climbs to three-month highs against NZ$
* Bond futures ease, rates to rise for long time to come
SYDNEY, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar got a lift
on Friday as the coutnry's central bank painted a luminous
outlook for the economy, suggesting interest rates and the
currency were set to rise a lot further over time.
The Aussie was firmer at $0.9133, from $0.9051 seen here
late Thursday, albeit in thin trading volumes. In the near
term, it is meeting resistance at the 20-day moving average of
$0.9140.
Pointing to buoyant trade, investment and population
growth, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sharply upgraded
its forecasts for economic growth [ID:nSYC002289]
Analysts said the statement heralded more rate rises down
the road, even if it offered few clues about a move in
December. In fact, some say future rate rises may happen in
quicker succession if the economy grows faster than expected.
"If it's stronger than expected, which I think is highly
likely, they'll ditch the gradual approach," said Adam Carr, an
analyst at ICAP.
The Aussie was firm on the yen at 82.79 yen , from
Thursday's 81.84. Trade was cautious ahead of key U.S. payrolls
data later in the session.
As it is, Australia already offers the highest interest
rates in the developed world at 3.50 percent.
While investors are unsure about a 25-basis-point rate rise
next month, they are confident rates will be sharply higher a
year from now.
A 64-percent chance of a rate rise is seen next month,
while a whopping 170-basis-points of hikes are
seen over the next 12 months. That outlook kept bond futures
subdued, with the three-year contract off 0.090 points at
94.840.
In testament to Australia's sturdy economy and the Aussie's
ever-growing yield allure, the local dollar hit a three-month
high against the New Zealand dollar on Friday.
It rose to as far as NZ$1.2662 after breaking a
key level of NZ$1.2600.
One trader said the rise was largely driven by bets that
New Zealand rates should stay at a record low of 2.5 percent
for a some time. New Zealand's central bank has pledged to
refrain from raising rates until July 2010.
Unlike Australia, New Zealand's economy has taken a big hit
from the financial crisis. Unemployment is at a nine-year high
and the central bank has warned of a slow and vulnerable
recovery.
"There is a two-speed global economy. Asia and Australia
are in the fast lane, the Group of Seven is in the slow lane,"
said Greg Gibbs, an analyst at RBS. ----------------(Snapshot
at 4:15 p.m./0515 GMT)---------------- FUTURES
CASH YIELD 90-DAY BILL 90-DAY BILL
(DEC) 95.84 (-0.04) AUD3MOIS= 3.64 (3.62) 3-YR BOND
(DEC) 94.85 (-0.08) AU3YT=RR 5.04 (4.96) 10-YR BOND
(DEC) 94.345(-0.055) AU10YT=RR 5.70 (5.65) AUD/USD
0.9133 (0.9051) US10YT=RR 3.53 (3.51)
---------------------------------------------------------------
AUD VS 2-YR 10-YR *AUD 3-YR/10-YR SPREAD
USD +379 (+370) +216 (+214) *FUTURES +0.505(+0.53)
CAD +326 (+319) +217 (+217) *AUD 2-YR/10-YR SPREAD
NZD +38 (+32) -7 (-10) *CASH +101 (+105)
---------------------------------------------------------------
(Reporting by Koh Gui Qing)