* Aussie slips as RBA leaves December hike in doubt
* RBA raises rates by an expected 25 bps to 3.50 percent
* Bond futures surge; swap rates slip
SYDNEY, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar slipped on
Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest
rates by an expected 25 basis points but sounded less hawkish
than some had bet on.
Markets are now wavering on bets for rates to rise to 3.75
percent next month after the RBA said it was prudent to
"gradually" loosen policy.
"Some investors were disappointed because the RBA wasn't as
aggressive as expected," said Peter Jolly, an analyst at
National Australia Bank. Rates stood at 3.50 percent after
Tuesday's rise.
The Aussie slipped to $0.9007, off an intra-day
high of $0.9092 as investors sold on the fact. It is now
hovering near the floor of an eight-month long upward trend
channel.
The daily MACD chart for the Aussie signals the currency
may come under more selling pressure, but the weekly chart
suggested any softness was temporary.
December interbank futures <0#YIB:> jumped 0.10 points to
96.36, showing an implied rate of 3.64 percent. The implied
rate stood at 6.76 percent before the RBA rate decision was
announced.
One-year overnight index swaps slumped to 4.37
percent, from 4.54 percent before the RBA decision. That was
the largest one-day fall in absolute terms since September.
Bond futures rallied. The three-year contract
jumped 0.14 points to 95.01, and 10-year bond futures
added 0.08 points to 94.53.
A comparison of the RBA's statement on Tuesday showed it
was little different from that published in October.
In both statements, the RBA noted the rise of the Aussie,
and said it was "prudent" to "gradually" ease policy.
Among the most striking differences were comments on
Tuesday that unemployment should peak at a "considerably" lower
rate, and that inflation would stay within target in 2010.
Most analysts agreed the RBA's cautious tone signalled it
is not inclined to lift rates by 50 basis points in December.
Some noted it has never in the last 20 years raised rates over
three consecutive months.
But analysts' predictions came with a caveat -- the
strength of this month's economic data reports would shape the
RBA's call.
"Officials are inclined to take each meeting on its
merits," said Stephen Walters, an analyst at JPMorgan.
"This leaves open the door for the RBA to pause if there is
a weak patch of domestic or offshore data."
----------------(Snapshot at 4:00 p.m./0500
GMT)---------------- FUTURES
CASH YIELD 90-DAY BILL 90-DAY BILL (DEC) 95.92 (+0.14)
AUD3MOIS= 3.60 (3.68) 3-YR BOND (DEC) 95.01 (+0.14)
AU3YT=RR 4.87 (5.02) 10-YR BOND (DEC) 94.525(+0.075)
AU10YT=RR 5.52 (5.59) AUD/USD 0.9007 (0.9032)
US10YT=RR 3.42 (3.41)
---------------------------------------------------------------
AUD VS 2-YR 10-YR *AUD 3-YR/10-YR SPREAD
USD +362 (+376) +210 (+218) *FUTURES +0.485(+0.420)
CAD +313 (+330) +208 (+217) *AUD 2-YR/10-YR SPREAD
NZD +24 (+40) -20 (-12) *CASH +98 (+91)
---------------------------------------------------------------
(Reporting by Koh Gui Qing)